CFL Week # 3 Best Bets !

[CNOTES]

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
07/11/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
07/10/10 4-0-0 100.00% +2000 Detail
07/09/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
07/04/10 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
07/02/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
07/01/10 4-0-0 100.00% +2000 Detail
Totals 11-5-0 68.75% +2750

Wednesday, July 14Game Score Status Pick Amount

Calgary - 7:30 PM ET Calgary -5.5 500 *****
Toronto - Over 48 500 ******

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Dunkel


Calgary at Toronto
The Argonauts look to take advantage of a Calgary team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 meetings in Toronto. Toronto is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has the Stampeders favored by only 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+6). Here are all of today's CFL picks.

WEDNESDAY, JULY 14

Game 411-412: Calgary at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 111.816; Toronto 106.519
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 5 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Calgary by 6; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+6); Under

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Long Sheet


Wednesday, July 14

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(2 - 0) at TORONTO (1 - 1) - 7/14/2010, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in home games in July games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

CFL


Week 3

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Trend Report
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Wednesday, July 14

7:30 PM
CALGARY vs. TORONTO
Calgary is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games at home
Toronto is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games at home

 

[CNOTES]

CFL


Wednesday. July 14

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Canadian bacon: Today's best CFL bet
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Calgary Stampeders at Toronto Argonauts (5.5, 48.5)

This will be a second road game in five days for the Calgary Stampeders. They claimed a short 23-22 victory in Hamilton against the Tiger Cats, thus beginning the season with a 2-0 record for the first time since 2000. The Argos also picked up a win in Week 2 - a 36-34 victory in Winnipeg that brought to a halt a nine-game regular-season losing streak.

These two teams met to start the 2010 season in Calgary where the Stamps took a 30-16 victory, their fifth in a row against the Argos. Despite some encouraging signs of improvement and the surprise win against the Blue Bombers, the Argonauts will again find it difficult to match skills with the Stampeders.

Even in a somewhat ordinary offensive performance against Hamilton, Calgary managed to total 385 yards with two touchdowns and 23 points on the board. As for quarterback Henry Burris, he completed 65 percent of his passes for 257 yards and the two TDs.

Although young quarterback Cleo Lemon picked up the first win of his CFL career Friday night, his numbers are far from impressive. After two games, he has a total of 354 yards with only one touchdown and one interception. Fortunately, the Argos can diversify their attack schemes with the addition of rookie running Cory Boyd, who rushed for 109 yards against Winnipeg after being held to only 32 the previous week against Calgary.

These Stampeders can also run the ball. Joffrey Reynolds rushed for 98 yards against the Tiger Cats. He already has 214 yards rushing after two games and, if history matters, Reynolds gains an average of more than 90 yards a game against Toronto.

The Argos now have a real head coach after the Bart Andrus fiasco and are a much-improved team in comparison with last year. But far from enough to beat the Stampeders, not even in the Queen City.

Pick: Calgary

 

[CNOTES]

Friday, July 16Game Score Status Pick Amount

Winnipeg - 7:00 PM ET Hamilton -3.5 500 *****
Hamilton - Over 54.5 500 *****

Montreal - 10:00 PM ET BC Lions +5 500 *****
BC Lions - Under 54 500 *****

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Long Sheet


Friday, July 16

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WINNIPEG (1 - 1) at HAMILTON (0 - 2) - 7/16/2010, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 5-2 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MONTREAL (1 - 1) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (1 - 1) - 7/16/2010, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in road games when playing on a Friday since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 3-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Dunkel


Winnipeg at Hamilton
The Tiger-Cats look to bounce back from their 23-22 loss to Calgary last week and build on their 7-2 ATS record in their last 9 games following a SU loss. Hamilton is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Tiger-Cats favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (-3). Here are all of today's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, JULY 16

Game 413-414: Winnipeg at Hamilton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 107.310; Hamilton 111.432
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 4; 51
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 3; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (-3); Under

Game 415-416: Montreal at BC (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 118.311; BC 113.874
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 4 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Montreal by 5; 54
Dunkel Pick: BC (+5); Over

 

[CNOTES]

CFL


Week 3

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Trend Report
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Friday, July 16

7:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. HAMILTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Winnipeg is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Hamilton
Hamilton is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Winnipeg
Hamilton is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Winnipeg

10:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Montreal is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
Montreal is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of British Columbia's last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games

 

[CNOTES]

Canadian bacon: This weekend's best CFL bets
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Friday, July 16

Hamilton Tiger Cats at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (-3.5, 54.5)

This is a rematch from Week 1, when the Bombers, led by their new quarterback Buck Pierce, rolled over the Tiger Cats in Hamilton.

They had seven sacks on Kevin Glenn in that game. In order to remove pressure from Glenn Friday, running back DeAndra Cobb must get the ball more often and make the most of it. After two games he only has 20 carries and 59 yards rushing.

The Tiger Cats did give a scare to the Calgary Stampeders last week in a game that coach Marcel Bellefeuille called the worst loss he endured since he took the helm of the Tiger Cats in 2008.

This week, Winnipeg must keep a close eye on Marcus Thigpen who, two games in his CFL career, has already scored touchdowns in four different ways: kick return, punt return, missed field goal and pass reception. He now needs to score on a rushing play to become the first one in the history of this league to find the endzone in five different ways in a single season.

Winnipeg will play this one without safety Ian Logan, who is nursing a hamstring injury. Brady Browne, a former player of the University of Manitoba Bison will get his first career start in front of family and friends. Defensive tackle Dorian Smith will also be out with a knee injury.

The Bombers should win but don’t expect the Tiger Cats to make it as easy on them as in Week 1.

Pick: Winnipeg

Montreal Alouettes at B.C. Lions (+5.5, 54)

Thanks to the magic of Anthony Calvillo and the offensive genius of coach Marc Trestman, the Alouettes managed to avoid a second loss in a row last week in Edmonton with a spectacular comeback victory over the Eskimos. That win was good for confidence according to some players.

Playing in Vancouver is never easy for the Alouettes, especially not after a short week. Montreal hasn’t won in B.C. since 2000. But this game won’t be played in the cavernous B.C. Place but outdoors at Empire Field.

The Alouettes have other reasons to worry in Week 3. Montreal’s defense continued to show weaknesses that must be a serious concern for an organization that believes it can repeat as Grey Cup champions. They just can’t seem to stop the long ball, with the secondary having surrendered 821 passing yards in two games.

With the Lions QB Casey Printers back from the quad injury that prevented him from playing in the second half of last week’s loss in Regina, the secondary of the Alouettes could be shredded once more.

Pick: B.C.

 

[CNOTES]

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
07/16/10 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
07/14/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
07/11/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
07/10/10 4-0-0 100.00% +2000 Detail
07/09/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
07/04/10 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
07/02/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
07/01/10 4-0-0 100.00% +2000 Detail
Totals 15-7-0 68.18% +3650


Saturday, July 17Game Score Status Pick Amount

Edmonton - 4:00 PM ET Saskatchewan -7 500 *****
Saskatchewan - Over 56.5 500 *****

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Dunkel - POD


Edmonton at Saskatchewan
The Roughriders look to build on their 9-2-1 ATS record in their last 12 July games. Saskatchewan is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Roughriders favored by 14 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-6 1/2).

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Dunkel


SATURDAY, JULY 17

Game 4417-418: Edmonton at Saskatchewan (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 107.932; Saskatchewan 122.277
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 14 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 6 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-6 1/2); Over

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Long Sheet


Saturday, July 17

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EDMONTON (0 - 2) at SASKATCHEWAN (2 - 0) - 7/17/2010, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 140-104 ATS (+25.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 140-104 ATS (+25.6 Units) in all lined games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 127-94 ATS (+23.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 40-18 ATS (+20.2 Units) in July games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

CFL


Saturday, July 17

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Trend Report
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4:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Edmonton is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Edmonton's last 9 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


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Canadian bacon: This weekend's best CFL bets
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Edmonton Eskimos at Saskatchewan Roughriders (-7, 56.5)

The Eskimos are winless after two awful games played at home where they found ingenious ways to shoot themselves in the foot. And now they need to find a replacement to linebacker Mark Restelli, who suffered a knee injury that has got his name on the nine-game injured list.

In a merciless Western Division, the Eskimos can’t afford a third lost in a row. Turnovers have proven costly to the Esks in the first two games, especially against Montreal where bad interceptions and dropped balls have turn a sure win in crushing defeat.

Ricky Ray is still one of the best quarterbacks in Canadian football, but he can’t be expected to win solely on vertical plays. He needs to hand the ball to RB Arkee Whitlock more often and rely on Kamau Peterson and Kelly Campbell to create big plays out of short accurate passes.

Roughriders quarterback Darian Durant has started the season by out-dueling Montreal’s Anthony Calvillo and followed that with a flawless performance against B.C. He already has 733 passing yards after two games - the most in the CFL.

Who wants to bet against these Riders? They will most likely be the only undefeated team in the CFL after Week 3 and Rider Nation will start dreaming of another trip to the Big Game.

Pick: Saskatchewan